Trump is blustering as usual but in reality praying for Iran peace deal

COMMENTARY: By Lim Tean

Many American apologists cannot see the forest for the trees and think that the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz represents a huge win for the United States and that Iran has caved in. Wrong.

When the Iran ceasefire was first announced by US President Donald Trump on April 8, it was meant to cover Lebanon as well.

Even the Pakistanis, who were the mediators said it covered Lebanon. But that war criminal Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu wanted to wreck the peace process and so bombed Lebanon viciously and committed genocide once again, killing hundreds if not thousands of innocent Lebanese.

Trump tried to rein him in but Netanyahu refused to stop the genocide and the two got into a shouting match in the early hours of the morning. The Americans just could not control the Israelis.

So Iran maintained their vice-like closure of the Strait of Hormuz. With each passing day, the world was moving towards an economic precipice and people all over the world were blaming Trump and the Americans for starting the stupid war.

Trump eventually read the riot act to Netanyahu and unilaterally imposed the ceasefire in Lebanon. The Israelis were stunned.

The ceasefire resulted not because of talks between the Lebanese and the Israelis, but because of the leverage Iran has over the Strait of Hormuz. That is why the Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araghchi said that because of the ceasefire in Lebanon, Iran is reopening the Strait — and Trump thanked the Iranians profusely for it.

As for Trump still maintaining the blockade of the Iranian ports, this is pure posturing by him to show that he is strong. It means nothing.

The Iranians have already warned him that if he continues with the blockade, they will not only close off the Strait of Hormuz again but also the Bab Al-Mandeb Strait in the Red Sea and also the Gulf of Oman.

That would plunge the entire world economy into a depression and no oil from the Gulf would flow.

Trump as usual is blustering, but in reality he is praying every minute that the Iranians will go back to the negotiating table, and give him the peace deal he so desperately needs to extricate himself from the mess he created in starting this war.

Iran is showing its maturity and displaying the might of a new global power. It will soon control the entire Middle East together with the other great power — Türkiye.

Lim Tean is a Singaporean lawyer, politician and commentator. He is the founder of the political party People’s Voice and a co-founder of the political alliance People’s Alliance for Reform.

Article by AsiaPacificReport.nz

Evening Report: https://eveningreport.nz/2026/04/18/trump-is-blustering-as-usual-but-in-reality-praying-for-iran-peace-deal/

ER Report: A Roundup of Significant Articles on EveningReport.nz for April 18, 2026

ER Report: Here is a summary of significant articles published on EveningReport.nz on April 18, 2026.

Pacific Forum responds to current global fuel and energy challenges
The Pacific Islands Forum troika Leaders have agreed to activate the Biketawa Declaration, placing the region on a co-ordinated high alert framework to respond to the unfolding global energy security crisis. The declaration was made by the leaders of the Solomon Islands, Tonga and Palau following discussions in Nadi, Fiji, on Friday in light of

Owen Jones: At The Telegraph, journalist support for Israel is now mandatory
COMMENTARY: By Owen Jones Britain’s Daily Telegraph is being acquired by a German-based media giant — and now its journalists are formally expected to support Israel. The Culture Secretary, Lisa Nandy, has cleared the takeover by Axel Springer SE. Its CEO, Mathias Döpfner, has written to Telegraph staff “outlining his commitment” to the paper. An

Man linked to gang activity dies after Fiji military detention, local media report
RNZ Pacific The Fiji Police Force has confirmed that a man who was taken in for questioning by the Republic of Fiji Military Forces in Suva has died in custody. Fijian media are reporting that the man was a wellknown “drug lord” known to local authorities. The man was among a group allegedly linked to

Neoliberalism caused two fractures in the world – why Iran’s resistance is so vital
ANALYSIS: By Prabhat Patnaik It is the people of the Global South, not governments, who must resist this subversion of the concepts of the “nation’ and of non-alignment. The Indian government’s position on the US-Israeli war against Iran shows an unbelievable degree of pusillanimity. India attended the recent meeting of about 50 countries called by

Israel and Lebanon have a ceasefire, but global attention shouldn’t move on. This isn’t a tidy end to the war
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Marika Sosnowski, Senior research fellow, The University of Melbourne After weeks of bombardments in southern Lebanon that have killed more than 2,000 people and displaced more than one million residents, Israel has announced a ten-day ceasefire with Lebanon. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, however, vowed to keep

Want to get the pill without seeing a GP? Here’s what you need to know
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Rebekah Moles, Professor in Pharmacy Practice, University of Sydney The pill is the most common way Australian women avoid getting pregnant. Almost 30% of Australian women who use contraception take the pill. Now, several state and territory governments are giving women greater access to the pill. Just

Electric vehicles pass tipping point, breaking the link with oil prices
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Viet Nguyen-Tien, Research Economist, London School of Economics and Political Science When the Strait of Hormuz first closed in March and oil hit US$120 a barrel, a very old question came back: is this finally the moment electric vehicles take off for good – or just another

DemosAU gives Labor one of its worst poll results this term
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Adrian Beaumont, Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne A DemosAU poll has Labor down three points on primary votes since February to just 26%, with Labor and One Nation now tied. The total vote for

‘Exceptional circumstances’: why was Ben Roberts-Smith granted bail?
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Melanie O’Brien, Professor of International Law, The University of Western Australia In early April, one of Australia’s most decorated soldiers, Ben Roberts-Smith, was arrested and charged with five war crimes of murder. These charges were brought under the Commonwealth Criminal Code Act. On Friday, a bail hearing

More than 60% of home battery installations inspected in Australia are ‘substandard’
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Rusty Langdon, Senior Research Consultant, Institute for Sustainable Futures, University of Technology Sydney More than 60% of battery system installation work inspected under a federal government green energy program is substandard and 1.2% unsafe, according to a recent report by the Clean Energy Regulator. The Cheaper Home

Israel and Lebanon have signed a ceasefire. But this isn’t a tidy end to a war and attention moves on quickly
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Marika Sosnowski, Senior research fellow, The University of Melbourne After weeks of bombardments in southern Lebanon that have killed more than 2,000 people and displaced more than one million residents, Israel has announced a ten-day ceasefire with Lebanon. Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, however, vowed to keep

Musk’s SpaceX is shaping up as the biggest IPO on record. It’s also bending the rules to do so
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Marta Khomyn, Senior Lecturer, Finance and Data Analytics, Adelaide University Elon Musk’s space exploration company SpaceX has filed confidential papers ahead of a planned public company listing on the US NASDAQ stock exchange. The initial public offering (IPO) for the company controlled by the world’s richest man

ER Report: A Roundup of Significant Articles on EveningReport.nz for April 17, 2026
ER Report: Here is a summary of significant articles published on EveningReport.nz on April 17, 2026.

Evening Report: https://eveningreport.nz/2026/04/18/er-report-a-roundup-of-significant-articles-on-eveningreport-nz-for-april-18-2026/

Owen Jones: At The Telegraph, journalist support for Israel is now mandatory

COMMENTARY: By Owen Jones

Britain’s Daily Telegraph is being acquired by a German-based media giant — and now its journalists are formally expected to support Israel.

The Culture Secretary, Lisa Nandy, has cleared the takeover by Axel Springer SE. Its CEO, Mathias Döpfner, has written to Telegraph staff “outlining his commitment” to the paper.

An employee at The Telegraph has sent me that letter. It is deeply revealing.

Döpfner insists that the values of The Telegraph and the publishing house founded by late tycoon Axel Springer — dubbed “Germany’s Rupert Murdoch” — are aligned. They are, he says, “Freedom, free markets, individual freedom and freedom of speech”.

He goes further. Axel Springer, he explains, is “guided by a clear editorial compass.” Its employees are rooted in its “Essentials” — “core values to which we are firmly committed”.

There is, he adds, “no such thing as neutral journalism”: only journalism that is “pluralistic and surprising, fair, and fact-based.”

And yet, having invoked “freedom of speech” as a foundational principle, he insists these Essentials are not partisan — but rather “define a socio-political framework within which maximum journalistic freedom and intellectual independence can flourish.”

‘We support the right of Israel to exist’
Döpfner then sets out those ‘Essentials’:

  1. We stand for freedom, freedom of expression, the rule of law, and democracy.
  2. We support the right of Israel to exist and oppose all forms of antisemitism.
  3. We advocate the transatlantic alliance between the United States and Europe.
  4. We uphold the principles of a free-market economy.
  5. We reject political and religious extremism, as well as all forms of discrimination.

Note where “we support the right of Israel to exist” sits: second.

‘Freedom’ — within limits
Döpfner emphasises that editorial independence will be protected, including from pressure by politicians, celebrities, or advertisers. “I value debate in the spirit of pluralism and freedom of expression,” he writes.

But the description of the Essentials is, frankly, Orwellian.

It is not reconcilable to argue that these tenets create the conditions for “maximum journalistic freedom” while simultaneously requiring adherence to a political position on a specific foreign state.

Out of 193 UN member states, only one is singled out in this way.

No state has a “right to exist” under international law. Peoples have a right to self-determination — a right denied, in this case, by Israel’s illegal occupation of Palestinian land, and by subjecting its people to apartheid, colonisation and genocide.

A Telegraph journalist put it to me bluntly:

To be firmly told by our new parent company-to-be’s CEO that the second most important guiding principle is affirming the right of a country committing genocide and ethnic cleansing is more than a little concerning.

It also raises the question of how any reporting from the paper can be considered factual if that is our core principle.

As they note, this principle comes before any explicit rejection of discrimination.

What ‘Israel’s right to exist’ means in practice
In practice, the phrase “Israel’s right to exist” has been repeatedly deployed by Israel’s cheerleaders across the West to justify Israel’s crimes — from occupation and colonisation to apartheid and, now, mass destruction in Gaza.

It is also telling what is not said. The Essentials do not prohibit racism in general, despite later rejecting “all forms of discrimination”. There is no explicit rejection of Islamophobia, for example, or anti-Arab racism.

Instead, “oppose all forms of antisemitism” is fused directly with “support the right of Israel to exist”.

That conflation matters.

Because we know that defenders of Israel have repeatedly blurred the line between antisemitism and opposition to the actions of the Israeli state.

So how, exactly, might Axel Springer SE interpret “oppose all forms of antisemitism”?

‘Free Palestine’ is a ‘pro-Hamas topic’
There are very strong clues, let’s put it that way.

The late Axel Springer himself declared:

It is the task of our generation to stand firmly by Israel’s side, even if this causes difficulties for our policies elsewhere.

He further added:

The country does not need encouragement, but advocacy, wherever and whenever it can be provided – in the European Community, in the United Nations, in diplomatic relations, at work, in the family.

He described this as a “German duty”.

In June 2021, when employees complained about the Israeli flag being raised at company headquarters, Mathias Döpfner responded:

I think, and I’m being very frank with you, a person who has an issue with an Israeli flag being raised for one week here, after antisemitic demonstrations, should look for a new job.

He was referring to demonstrations against Israel’s assault on Gaza that May.

In October 2023, a Lebanese employee at Welt TV — part of the Axel Springer empire — was dismissed: he says it was after he challenged the outlet’s pro-Israel positions. Axel Springer SE refuse to comment on “individual personnel matters”.

In an internal email which was leaked that year, Döpfner reportedly summarised his political worldview with the phrase: “Zionism über alles” — “Zionism above all.”

He has penned repeated pro-Israel polemics. “Will we stand with Israel against the enemies of freedom despite the risks, or will we allow fear and opportunism to prevail?” he wrote in October 2023, demanding “massive, unstiting political, financial and military support”.

On a podcast for his employees, Döpfner claimed “a majority on Instagram, on other social media, and in particular on TikTok, took sides for the Hamas’ actions.” He argued that “an almost global wave of Anti-Semitism suddenly showed its ugly face”, which he described as a shock, despite knowing “that it is here and there, well hidden or presented in a politically correct manner as Anti-Zionism or “Woke-ism” or whatever.”

And he said something deeply revealing about TikTok:

“Concretely, more than 4 million posts until today have been published under the hashtag of #FreePalestine or other kind of pro-Hamas topics. And only 50,000 something, 53,000 posts basically standing by Israel.”

“Free Palestine”, he argued, was a “kind of pro-Hamas topic”.

Conflating antisemitism with critique of Israel
When Israel launched its first war on Iran last June, Döpfner declared it was “surprising that Israel is not being celebrated worldwide for its historic, extremely precise and necessary strike.” Instead, he claimed:

the public response is dominated by anti-Israel propaganda. The intelligence and precision of Israel’s actions are not admired but are instead used here and there to perpetuate blatantly antisemitic stereotypes. This attitude is characterised not only by racist undertones, but also by a strange self-forgetfulness.

In other words, he directly conflated critique of Israel’s war with antisemitism.

A few months ago, he quoted claims about atrocities committed on October 7th which included: “A first responder testified before the Knesset that he had seen the severed skulls of three children.” The claims that Israeli children were beheaded have been comprehensively debunked.

He went on to write that:

justified criticism of decisions made by an Israeli government is mixed with deep-rooted hatred of Jews and that, as a result, instead of an obvious global wave of compassion and solidarity, a global wave of cold-heartedness and increasingly aggressive anti-Semitism has emerged.

The piece further criticised the German government — Israel’s most loyal European defender — for “massively” restricting arms sales to Israel. Tellingly, he said that decision meant that “From now on, unconditional support for Israel’s right to exist is effectively subject to conditions.”

He described the recognition of Palestinian statehood “as a reward for the barbarism of October 7″.

Last October, Al Jazeera published an investigation into German tabloid Bild, a cornerstone of Axel Springer SE, headlined “The Story of Israel’s Propaganda Machine Specialising in Anti-Palestinian Incitement’.

Al Jazeera reported that the newspaper had suggested that a Palestinian journalist killed by Israel was a “terrorist”, denied famine in Gaza, and published a lengthy report it claimed had been found on the computer of late Hamas leader Yahya Sinwar. It transpired that the document was old, not authored by Sinwar, and had reportedly been leaked by Benjamin Netanyahu’s office.

The newspaper, reported Al Jazeera, had also “consistently demonised pro-Gaza demonstrators in Germany, labelling them as “mobs”, “Israel-haters”, and “anti-Semites”.

Israel’s supporters in the West have launched the biggest assault on free speech since the height of McCarthyism.

We can see where the Telegraph’s new owners stand on that.

Extracted and republished from Owen Jones’ article on his Battlelines substack. Read the full article here.

Article by AsiaPacificReport.nz

Evening Report: https://eveningreport.nz/2026/04/18/owen-jones-at-the-telegraph-journalist-support-for-israel-is-now-mandatory/

Pacific Forum responds to current global fuel and energy challenges

The Pacific Islands Forum troika Leaders have agreed to activate the Biketawa Declaration, placing the region on a co-ordinated high alert framework to respond to the unfolding global energy security crisis.

The declaration was made by the leaders of the Solomon Islands, Tonga and Palau following discussions in Nadi, Fiji, on Friday in light of the looming energy crisis as a result of the illegal US-Israel war on Iran.

The meeting brought together the incoming Chair, President Surangel Whipps of Palau, and outgoing Chair, the Prime Minister of Tonga, Lord Fakafanua.

On a social media post, Solomon Islands Prime Minister Jeremiah Manele noted that Solomon Islands continued to experience the impact of global fuel price volatility and highlighted the importance of practical regional solutions to support vulnerable Pacific economies.

Leaders noted that Tuvalu and the Marshall Islands had declared energy emergencies, while Solomon Islands, Fiji, Nauru, Vanuatu, the Cook Islands, and the Federated States of Micronesia were implementing national mitigation measures.

Other Forum members remain on a regional watch phase, with ongoing monitoring by the Pacific Islands Forum Secretariat.

New Zealand’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Trade is aware the Forum Troika has invoked the Biketawa Declaration to respond to the current global fuel and energy challenges.

A spokesperson for MFAT said they are supportive of regional efforts to respond to regional crises, including through the Biketawa Declaration.

They said they are working closely with Pacific Islands Forum partners to understand the fuel supply situation, and potential needs, across the region and how they could assist.

This article is republished under a community partnership agreement with RNZ.

Article by AsiaPacificReport.nz

Evening Report: https://eveningreport.nz/2026/04/18/pacific-forum-responds-to-current-global-fuel-and-energy-challenges/

Man linked to gang activity dies after Fiji military detention, local media report

RNZ Pacific

The Fiji Police Force has confirmed that a man who was taken in for questioning by the Republic of Fiji Military Forces in Suva has died in custody.

Fijian media are reporting that the man was a wellknown “drug lord” known to local authorities.

The man was among a group allegedly linked to gang activity who were taken in for questioning by the military on Thursday night, fijivillage.com reports.

Police spokesperson Ana Naisoro said an investigation into the incident was underway.

The incident comes amid ongoing joint operations between the police and the military.

This week, the Fijian military warned that individuals responsible for “any attempt to destabilise national security” and those who aid “individuals engaged in criminal activity” had been put on notice.

The death also comes as Fijians mourn the passing of the former President Ratu Epeli Nailatikau, who has been accorded a state funeral today.

This article is republished under a community partnership agreement with RNZ.

Article by AsiaPacificReport.nz

Evening Report: https://eveningreport.nz/2026/04/17/man-linked-to-gang-activity-dies-after-fiji-military-detention-local-media-report/

Neoliberalism caused two fractures in the world – why Iran’s resistance is so vital

ANALYSIS: By Prabhat Patnaik

It is the people of the Global South, not governments, who must resist this subversion of the concepts of the “nation’ and of non-alignment.

The Indian government’s position on the US-Israeli war against Iran shows an unbelievable degree of pusillanimity.

India attended the recent meeting of about 50 countries called by the United Kingdom where Iran was strongly criticised for closing the Strait of Hormuz, but not a word was uttered against the US-Israeli aggression on Iran.

Likewise, India was one of the sponsors of a resolution at the UN General Assembly which criticised Iran for attacking other countries in the Gulf (though Iran was attacking only the American military bases located in those countries). Yet again, not a word was uttered in that resolution condemning the US-Israeli aggression on Iran.

It is also noteworthy that India took several days before expressing any grief over the assassination Iran’s supreme leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, and several weeks before expressing any shock over the brutal killing of 175 innocent schoolgirls in Minab.

Such pusillanimity, however, is not confined to India: as many as 135 countries were co-sponsors of the dishonest and duplicitous UNGA resolution mentioned above, afraid that they would otherwise offend the Americans.

In fact, apart from a handful of countries in the entire world, none has had the gumption to condemn unambiguously the blatantly illegal and immoral war unleashed by the US-Israeli combine against Iran.

Extreme concern
This is a matter for extreme concern, for the attack on Iran abrogates the concept of sovereignty of nations that had been the core concept in the struggle for decolonisation and had underlain the entire post-colonial order. It destroys, in other words, the very rationale for decolonisation.

This pusillanimity on the part of Third World countries is also a matter of great puzzlement. After all, these are countries that have had long and arduous anti-colonial struggles to achieve the status of independent and sovereign states; how can they remain silent when this very sovereignty is being violated in the case of a fellow Third World state by the armed might of US imperialism?

The answer to this question, no doubt complex, must nonetheless incorporate recognition of at least two fractures that neoliberalism has introduced into our world. One is the fracturing of the concept of the “nation” whose coming into being had been accomplished by the anti-colonial struggle.

This concept of the “nation” had differed fundamentally from the European concept that had developed in the wake of the Westphalian Peace Treaties in at least three ways: first, it was inclusive and did not identify any “enemy within”; second, unlike European nationalism it shunned any imperial ambitions of its own, in the sense of having designs over the resources of distant lands; and third, it did not apotheosise the nation as standing above the people whose “duty” supposedly was to serve it.

The coming into being of this inclusive concept of the “nation” was in turn a reflection of the fact that the anti-colonial struggle was a multi-class struggle; and the dirigiste economic regime that was erected after independence, though it promoted capitalist development, also sought to put curbs on rampant capitalism in the name of achieving “national” development.

This was in the interests of preserving its multi-class support base, which even the monopoly capitalists were not averse to at that time, since they had wanted a trajectory of development where the state exercised relative autonomy vis-a-vis imperialism. The existence of a large public sector was a part of this trajectory.

Further, the policy of non-alignment pursued by these dirigiste regimes had complemented this quest for development in relative autonomy from imperialism. Michal Kalecki, the Polish Marxist economist, had erred in calling such regimes “intermediate regimes” and suggesting that the middle classes held decisive power in such regimes; but he had been right in identifying state capitalism (public sector) and non-alignment as the two most distinctive features of these regimes.

Monopoly bourgeoisie
With globalisation of capital, however, things changed. The domestic monopoly bourgeoisie integrated itself with globalised capital and abandoned its agenda of pursuing a development trajectory that was relatively autonomous of the metropolis.

Sections of the upper professional and bureaucratic segments of society, keen to send their children to study and settle down in the metropolis, joined in as supporters of the neoliberal regime that emerged under the aegis of this globalised capital.

The landed rich too sought their fortunes within this new neoliberal order, which not only promoted rampant unrestrained capitalism, but came down heavily against workers, peasants, agricultural labourers, petty producers and the lower salariat. A schism was effected within the class alliance that had been forged in the course of the anti-colonial struggle.

It was no longer the “nation” against the metropolis that was in focus, but big capital including multinational capital against those social groups which stood in the way of instituting rapid “development” defined exclusively in terms of GDP growth-rates.

The interest of big capital was, by a sleight of hand, identified as “national interest”, and the duty of all classes was to promote it.

This shift in the meaning of the term “nation” meant in effect a fracturing of the “nation” whose coming into being was the desideratum of the anti-colonial struggle. Freedom of the “nation” from imperialist domination, far from being the over-riding objective, was no longer even a desired or a relevant objective for the government within a neoliberal setting.

This is the first instance of “fracturing” referred to above. Because of this fracturing, the criterion on the basis of which the government of a neoliberal regime takes decisions is not whether a particular stance defends national sovereignty, but whether it promotes the material interests of big capital which are considered identical with those of the “nation” in its new meaning.

Deafening silences
Siding with the US-Israeli alliance appears, on balance, more advantageous than standing with Iran, the victim of aggression, from the point of view of the interests of big capital in countries of the Global South. This would go some way to explain the deafening silences, mentioned earlier, in the UNGA and other resolutions.

There is also a second “fracture” brought about by the neoliberal regime. While the neoliberal regime is “sold” to the Global South as ushering in export-led growth that would bring about a higher GDP growth-rate for all countries compared with the earlier dirigiste regime, this claim is completely false.

Since the growth rate of aggregate world demand does not increase when more countries pursue an export-led growth strategy, the neoliberal regime that generalises this strategy among all countries is, in effect, forcing them to engage in Darwinian competition against one another, that is, to pursue a “beggar-thy-neighbour” strategy.

Some countries’ higher growth-rate than before under the export-led growth strategy, it follows, must be at the expense of other countries that now experience lower growth-rate than before.

Countries engaged in a race to outdo one another can scarcely be said to be “co-operating” with one another. The effect of a general pursuit of the neoliberal strategy, therefore, is a de facto abandonment of non-alignment, of a trajectory where countries of the Global South stood with one another to face up to imperialism.

Now, countries of the Global South, each obsessed with achieving higher GDP growth and hence, within the neoliberal paradigm, obsessed with drawing in larger metropolitan investment for this purpose, would rather curry favour with imperialism in order to outdo their neighbours.

This leads to a fracturing of the non-aligned movement, which is the second fracturing we mentioned earlier.

The silence of most countries of the Global South in the face of the US-Israeli aggression on Iran, which may appear puzzling at first sight, is not so puzzling after all.

Subverting both ‘nation’, ‘non-alignment’
Neoliberalism has been at work for quite some time in subverting both the concept of the nation and the concept of non-alignment, abandoning the anti-imperialist core that characterised these concepts, and substituting in their place alternative concepts that prioritise the task of currying favour with imperialism over everything else.

The outcome of this process is what we see today.

Capitalism is invariably hostile to any collective praxis against it, even if this collective praxis takes the form of just trade union action. It believes in atomising economic agents.

Neoliberal capitalism, which represents a return to unrestrained and uncontrolled capitalism once more, brings to the fore this tendency toward the atomisation of economic agents, through a break-up of the class alliance that had participated in the anti-colonial struggle, and through a subversion of the non-aligned movement that had stood for collective opposition by countries of the Global South to imperialist hegemony.

It is for the people of the Global South, not the governments currently promoting the interests of the ruling big bourgeoisie, to extend solidarity to the people of Iran. The struggle of Iran against the US-Israeli alliance is of crucial importance for recovering the sovereignty of the Global South.

Dr Prabhat Patnaik is professor emeritus, Centre for Economic Studies and Planning, Jawaharlal Nehru University, New Delhi. The views are personal. This article is republished from Newsclick.

Article by AsiaPacificReport.nz

Evening Report: https://eveningreport.nz/2026/04/17/neoliberalism-caused-two-fractures-in-the-world-why-irans-resistance-is-so-vital/

Israel and Lebanon have a ceasefire, but global attention shouldn’t move on. This isn’t a tidy end to the war

Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Marika Sosnowski, Senior research fellow, The University of Melbourne

After weeks of bombardments in southern Lebanon that have killed more than 2,000 people and displaced more than one million residents, Israel has announced a ten-day ceasefire with Lebanon.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, however, vowed to keep Israeli troops in southern Lebanon to create a ten-kilometre “security zone”, raising immediate questions about whether the ceasefire would actually stop Israeli attacks against Hezbollah.

After a previous ceasefire in late 2024 ended 13 months of fighting between Israel and Hezbollah, Israeli troops continued to launch airstrikes and carry out targeted killings of Hezbollah fighters.

People like to bound events such as wars with tidy dates and years. It makes them easier to understand and entertains the fantasy that historic events are neat, with understandable beginnings, middles and eventual ends.

But in reality, the messiness and complexities of war rarely hold to these manmade boundaries.

Instead, even after a ceasefire or a peace agreement is in place, many dynamics of war continue. This is the paradox of such agreements: they might end one phase of a conflict, but they inevitably usher in another.

Internally displaced residents sit outside their tents at a makeshift camp in the waterfront area of Beirut, Lebanon. Wael Hamzeh/EPA

The good and bad of ceasefires

Take Israel’s war in Gaza as an example.

The war came to an end after Israel and Hamas signed the Gaza Peace Plan, a 20-point deal brokered by the Trump administration, in October 2025.

The terms are relatively broad, vague and aspirational. But the deal has had many benefits. The ceasefire decreased Israel’s bombardments of Gaza. The remaining Israeli hostages captured on October 7 2023 were swapped with Palestinian prisoners held in Israeli jails. Somewhat more aid now enters the strip than during the war.

However, the agreement also created other negative dynamics and enabled many problems caused by the war to continue.

For example, after the deal was signed, the public and media attention shifted away from the violence continuing to be committed by Israel to other events. This has meant that in the wake of the peace deal, near-daily Israeli attacks have continued, but with much less scrutiny. Israeli-supported violence against Palestinians in the West Bank has also escalated.

Palestinians pray over the bodies of victims reportedly killed in an Israeli airstrike in the central Gaza Strip in early April. Haitham Imad/EPA

Humanitarian aid entry into the Gaza Strip also remains vastly below the levels delineated by the peace agreement. And serious discussions about the future governance or development of Gaza – mandated under the peace plan in multiple points – remain uncertain amid the noise of other wars and global events.

We can see similar dynamics in Iran, barely a week after another vaguely worded ceasefire agreement was signed between the US and the Iranian regime.

It appears the regime has taken the opportunity provided by a two-week “peace” to crack down on internal dissent. And in what appears to be an attempt to enhance its negotiating position for future peace talks, the Trump administration has launched a naval blockade of Iranian ports.

The short-term truce between Lebanon and Israel might offer Lebanese civilians some level of reprieve. However, it may also provide Israel with a quiet week away from the media spotlight to reinforce its military occupation of southern Lebanon.

To create Israel’s security zone, Defence Minister Israel Katz said the military would demolish buildings in Lebanese towns near the border and prevent displaced Lebanese from returning to their homes. Netanyahu made clear Israeli troops would remain.

This can all be more easily accomplished with a ceasefire deal in place.

Short attention spans

Globally, dozens of countries are currently experiencing armed conflict. Many people scan the news regularly as a way of keeping informed and bearing witness to the dynamics of these wars, casualty figures and how they might potentially end.

This glorified horror plays into our current “headline culture”, which tends to encourage clickbait, sensationalised content and virality. It also means public attention on a particular conflict is not necessarily driven by the scale of suffering, but by media coverage. Because of digital media, we have now a proximate and persistent view of human suffering and death that does not always translate into ongoing attention and action.

Whether parties to a conflict will reach a ceasefire or peace agreement is certainly worthwhile and important news. However, once a deal is signed, media and public attention often shifts to other more “active” (and also worthy) conflicts. There is currently no shortage of wars to choose from.

Because we believe a conflict has “ended” with a deal, what comes after the ceasefire or peace agreement tends to remain obfuscated or under-reported.

A child searches for reusable items at a landfill beside a tent camp housing displaced Palestinians in Deir al-Balah, central Gaza Strip, on April 16 2026. Abdel Kareem Hana/AP

The peace agreement paradox

Ceasefires and peace agreements are certainly not always a harbinger of peace or a neat full-stop to a war story.

Arguably, the parties to these deals are increasingly aware of the “peace” agreement paradox and are making their political and military calculations accordingly.

If we truly want to grapple with what war and peace directly entails for millions of people in an increasingly complex and volatile world, we need to broaden our understanding about what we mean by ceasefires and peace agreements – and keep up a level of scrutiny long after the deals are signed.

ref. Israel and Lebanon have a ceasefire, but global attention shouldn’t move on. This isn’t a tidy end to the war – https://theconversation.com/israel-and-lebanon-have-a-ceasefire-but-global-attention-shouldnt-move-on-this-isnt-a-tidy-end-to-the-war-280816

Evening Report: https://eveningreport.nz/2026/04/17/israel-and-lebanon-have-a-ceasefire-but-global-attention-shouldnt-move-on-this-isnt-a-tidy-end-to-the-war-280816/

Want to get the pill without seeing a GP? Here’s what you need to know

Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Rebekah Moles, Professor in Pharmacy Practice, University of Sydney

The pill is the most common way Australian women avoid getting pregnant. Almost 30% of Australian women who use contraception take the pill.

Now, several state and territory governments are giving women greater access to the pill. Just this week, New South Wales announced it would allow eligible pharmacists to prescribe it to women aged 18 and above, without them needing to see a GP first.

But around the country, the rules governing how women can access the pill through pharmacies vary. And certain types of the pill still aren’t available under pharmacy prescribing schemes anywhere in Australia.

How does the pill work?

The combined oral contraceptive pill is a daily medication that women can take to avoid unwanted pregnancies, or plan when they want to conceive.

The pill contains two hormones, typically oestrogen and progestogen or derivatives of these hormones, which stop the ovaries from releasing an egg each month. These hormones also makes a woman’s cervical mucus thicker, which helps prevent sperm from entering the uterus.

The pill is the most common kind of contraceptive. However, other types are also available. These include progestogen-only pills, otherwise known as the “mini pill”, and intrauterine devices that are implanted in the uterus to prevent pregnancy.

In addition to preventing pregnancy, the pill can also help women manage other medical conditions. These include menstrual disorders, such as heavy bleeding or painful periods. Women who have severe acne or endometriosis may also have less pain when on the pill.

So, what’s changing?

Until recently, women could only access the pill by following three strict steps.

  1. visit a GP for a script
  2. go to a pharmacy to get a supply of this medication
  3. return to the GP when this supply runs out, asking them for a new prescription.

However, federal and state governments are working to simplify this process.

In March, Victoria announced that from July this year, it’d allow women taking the pill for the first time to get it from pharmacies, without a GP prescription. This applies to women aged 18 and older.

Soon after, the federal government said it’d allow concession card holders to access subsidised contraceptives prescribed by qualified pharmacists, without the need to see a GP. This change will come into effect across Australia from January 2027, pending approval from all states and territories.

Most recently, NSW has announced trained pharmacists will be able to prescribe a range of oral contraceptives from June 1, 2026. However, this is only to women aged 18 and above who have a low risk of complications.

These announcements come as trained pharmacists take on a greater role in caring for people with acute and chronic health conditions. Researchers around Australia are currently investigating whether this is a safe and effective way to take pressure off GPs and the broader health-care system.

Training is key

Importantly, these new initiatives haven’t made the pill a fully “over the counter” medication.

Pharmacists who provide a resupply service in NSW, meaning a GP already prescribed the contraception in the past two years, must complete online training modules. Only then are they eligible to resupply up to 12 months of certain contraceptives. However, specific training requirements vary for each jurisdiction.

Under NSW’s new scheme, pharmacists must also have a postgraduate qualification in prescribing. That allows them to prescribe new contraceptives, or a different type of contraception, to a patient.

In certain jurisdictions, and with patient consent, pharmacists must notify the patient’s regular GP if they prescribe or resupply any contraception.

However, using contraceptives carries certain risks. People may be more likely to develop adverse symptoms, such as blood clots, because they have underlying conditions or other risk factors.

That’s why pharmacists must have thorough consultations with patients. This involves screening for risk factors, such as high blood pressure, before prescribing or resupplying contraceptives. And if their consultation raises any concerns, pharmacists must refer a patient to be reviewed by their GP.

For some people, longer-acting forms of contraception such as implants, or forms of contraception not available through pharmacists may be more suitable. It’s best to discuss these options with a GP. It’s also worth noting that seeing a pharmacist shouldn’t replace routine visits to the GP, which are key to monitoring your overall health.

In NSW, about 60 pharmacists have already completed a graduate certificate in prescribing from James Cook University. After also completing a state government reproductive health course, they’ll be eligible to start prescribing certain oral contraceptives from June 1, 2026.


Read more: Do we really need prescriptions for the contraceptive pill?


So, how can I get the pill?

You can find a participating pharmacy by visiting this website or contacting your local state or territory health department.

However, not every pharmacist can prescribe. So if you want to take the pill, it’s best to call your local pharmacy ahead of time. That way you can ask if their pharmacists are eligible to prescribe and/or resupply contraceptives, and discuss any anticipated costs. If they do, ask for a suitable time to go. But be prepared for a longer consultation, rather than a quick visit.

Importantly, seeing a pharmacist doesn’t guarantee you’ll get the pill. Depending on your jurisdiction, they may not be able to give you certain types of the pill or other contraceptives.

Instead, they may refer you to a GP to discuss other options. And if you’re using contraceptives primarily to manage another condition, such as acne, you’ll generally still need to see your GP.


Read more: How to choose the right contraceptive pill for you


ref. Want to get the pill without seeing a GP? Here’s what you need to know – https://theconversation.com/want-to-get-the-pill-without-seeing-a-gp-heres-what-you-need-to-know-280719

Evening Report: https://eveningreport.nz/2026/04/17/want-to-get-the-pill-without-seeing-a-gp-heres-what-you-need-to-know-280719/

Electric vehicles pass tipping point, breaking the link with oil prices

Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Viet Nguyen-Tien, Research Economist, London School of Economics and Political Science

When the Strait of Hormuz first closed in March and oil hit US$120 a barrel, a very old question came back: is this finally the moment electric vehicles take off for good – or just another false start?

EVs have been here before. They surged after the 1973 oil embargo, collapsed when oil fell, and surged again. Each wave died when the external pressure eased.

We think this time is different. In a new discussion paper, we argue that the economic case for electric vehicles is now improving on its own terms. This is because of what has happened to batteries, not because of the oil price. The same evidence, though, shows the transition creates new problems as serious as the ones it solves.

Why this time is different

Battery costs have fallen 93% since 2010. That is the number that changes everything. A pack that cost more than US$1,000 per kilowatt-hour in 2010 cost US$108 by late 2025, driven down by a decade of learning, investment and policy support.

Research on the global battery industry finds that every time cumulative production doubles, costs fall by around 9%. More buyers, more production, lower costs, more buyers.

Unlike the 1970s, this loop does not need an oil crisis to keep spinning. Electric cars have crossed lifetime cost parity with petrol vehicles across much of Europe; in the used-car market they now have the lowest total cost of ownership. Newer models even match petrol cars in estimated lifespan – something early EVs could not claim.

Global sales surpassed 17 million in 2024, one of the fastest technology diffusion processes in the history of transport. Norway is near-fully electrified. And Ethiopia reached around 60% EV sales share in 2024, powered by cheap hydroelectricity – some way ahead of the US, for instance, which sits at around 8%.

Ethiopia is enjoying an EV boom. Joerg Boethling / Alamy

An economic platform, not just a better engine

The deeper reason this wave will not fade is not technical – it is economic. An EV is a platform. Its value grows as the network around it grows, just as smartphones became indispensable not because of the hardware but because of everything connected to it.

Every charger built makes the next EV more attractive. Every software update raises the value of every car already on the road. Every recycled battery feeds back into the supply chain that makes the next one cheaper. It’s part of the reason some other technologies like hydrogen fuel cell vehicles have struggled to get off the ground in numbers – the tech exists, but all the other elements aren’t quite there.

One study of 8,000 drivers in Shanghai found that range anxiety – the fear of running out of charge – has a real economic cost due to unnecessarily avoided trips. But that cost is falling sharply, not because batteries improved, but because charging networks expanded.

Making real-time charger availability visible could add 6–8 percentage points to market share by 2030. And because EV charging is far more flexible than other household electricity demand, drivers can shift away from peak hours remarkably easily when the price is right – turning the car into a grid asset, able to store and release electricity when needed. These are economic network effects, not engineering features.

Swapping one dependency for another

Ending oil dependence does not end geopolitical exposure. It relocates it.

In late 2025, China introduced rules requiring government approval for exports containing more than 0.1% rare earths. The leverage that once came from control of oil flows now comes from control of processing capacity and component supply chains.

The minerals at stake – lithium, cobalt, nickel, graphite and neodymium to name but a handful – carry their own geopolitical risks and, as we have written elsewhere, serious human costs in the communities that mine them. This creates a predictable cycle of social contestation that threatens to stall the transition unless the industry commits to responsible, sustainable innovation.

The metal cobalt traditionally helped EVs travel further on the same charge. And when prices spiked, so did research into making batteries with less or even no cobalt. Today, more than half of all EV batteries sold globally are cobalt free.

Four decades of patent data show the same pattern: higher mineral prices consistently redirect research and development toward mineral-saving technologies.

Recovering lithium and cobalt from used batteries is becoming economically viable too, shifting part of the supply chain away from geopolitically exposed extraction sites. In addition, Norway and other countries are looking to exploit new critical mineral resources to diversify supplies.

The transition is real – but not risk-free

The Hormuz crisis is a reminder of what concentrated energy dependence costs. The EV transition does not need it. The learning curve keeps falling, the platform keeps compounding, the economics keep improving. That is what makes this wave different.

What it does not do is eliminate geopolitical risk. Unlike oil, where leverage comes from energy flows, EV supply chains concentrate power at materials, processing capacity, and technological bottlenecks – supply chains that are highly concentrated and carry their own serious risks. Fuel dependence becomes mineral dependence. That dependence is highly concentrated.

Traditional carmaking regions are already absorbing concentrated job losses, and history shows such disruptions leave persistent scars even if the long-term aggregate effects are positive. Yet electric vehicle assembly is proving more labour-intensive in western countries than expected – requiring more workers on the shopfloor, not fewer, at least in the ramp-up phase. Contrast this with China, where massive automation has led to the creation of “dark factories” where there are so few humans, internal lighting isn’t required.

The same regions facing losses could benefit. But the gains and losses do not fall on the same people. That is where the work remains.

ref. Electric vehicles pass tipping point, breaking the link with oil prices – https://theconversation.com/electric-vehicles-pass-tipping-point-breaking-the-link-with-oil-prices-280655

Evening Report: https://eveningreport.nz/2026/04/17/electric-vehicles-pass-tipping-point-breaking-the-link-with-oil-prices-280655/

‘Exceptional circumstances’: why was Ben Roberts-Smith granted bail?

Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Melanie O’Brien, Professor of International Law, The University of Western Australia

In early April, one of Australia’s most decorated soldiers, Ben Roberts-Smith, was arrested and charged with five war crimes of murder.

These charges were brought under the Commonwealth Criminal Code Act.

On Friday, a bail hearing was held in Sydney. Roberts-Smith appeared remotely from custody and his lawyers requested bail in person.

The judge granted Roberts-Smith bail based on “exceptional circumstances”.

The allegations and the arrest

The allegations against Roberts-Smith relate to five separate killings of people in various locations in Uruzgan Province, Afghanistan in 2009 and 2012, where he served with the Australian Special Forces (the Special Air Service regiment, also known as “the SAS”).


Read more: Ben Roberts-Smith is accused of 5 war crime murder charges. How did we get here?


These allegations were already known in the media and through the failed defamation case that Roberts-Smith brought against Nine Entertainment.

The wider context of the alleged offending came to light in 2020 following the release of the Brereton Report which found credible information that members of the SAS had committed war crimes during operations in Afghanistan between 2005 and 2016.

On April 7, Roberts-Smith was arrested at Sydney Airport by Australian Federal Police officers and taken into protective custody in Silverwater Prison.

What makes bail so important?

A day after his arrest, a remote bail hearing took place. Roberts-Smith’s lawyer did not request bail. It is unclear why. Bail was then requested at a hearing on April 17.

Bail is an important aspect of fair trial. Courts must consider the rights of the accused, such as the right not to be punished prior to being found guilty.

But courts must also mitigate any potential risks from the accused’s behaviour, which may include harm to the community or interfering with the course of justice. Also considered is whether a person is likely to appear at their subsequent court hearings or if there a risk of absconding or fleeing.

It is notable, however, the general trend in Australia is towards decreasing access to bail, as courts are increasingly risk averse.

This is particularly so with serious offences.

Are there any precedents in Australia?

It is difficult to compare the idea of bail for war crimes with bail decisions for “ordinary” crimes – even murder. This is because one of the considerations for bail is whether someone is likely to reoffend if they are out on bail.

In the case of war criminals, they are obviously no longer in a warzone – they are likely not going to reoffend while on bail.

Australia has almost no war crimes prosecutions in its history, with no conviction for the only previous prosecution which related to the second world war.

But we can look to the one other case of war crimes charges currently before the courts – Oliver Schulz, another SAS soldier.

In March 2023, Schulz was arrested and charged with the war crime of murder. This relates to an alleged killing carried out while Schulz was serving in Afghanistan.

Under the Commonwealth Crimes Act, bail is not permitted to be granted for a person accused under Commonwealth law of causing the death of a person. Only in “exceptional circumstances” will bail be justified.

After being arrested, Schulz was initially refused bail. However, eight days later, he was granted bail.

His lawyer argued there were “exceptional circumstances”, namely Schulz would be vulnerable in jail. He would likely encounter Islamic extremists, which would be a security risk for Schulz. The magistrate agreed and granted bail.

Schulz’s bail came with a long list of conditions:

  • a bail security of A$200,000

  • surrender of his passport

  • prohibition on contacting any of his fellow SAS soldiers

  • barred from contacting any prosecution witnesses

  • a curfew

  • reporting to police daily (this was later amended due to practicalities of the station’s opening hours).

What about Roberts-Smith?

Roberts-Smith’s situation is different from Schulz.

Firstly, he is charged with five war crime murders, not one. Studies have shown chances of bail decrease when there are more charges and when the offences are serious.

Secondly, Roberts-Smith has sufficient financial means to abscond, as well as wealthy financial backers. This would support his ability to pay a bail security, which increases the likelihood of bail being granted. However, it would also provide the means for international travel.

Thirdly, Roberts-Smith is known for travelling internationally, including during court proceedings.

This indicates he may be a high flight risk.

Fourthly, the court must consider the risk of Roberts-Smith interfering with the course of justice.

A judge previously found Roberts-Smith threatened witnesses in his defamation case.

What did lawyers argue at the bail hearing?

These factors were raised by lawyers for both sides in Friday’s bail hearing.

Roberts-Smith’s lawyers argued he also met the threshold of “exceptional circumstances” in that staying in prison would not be safe. They argued he was not a flight risk, had been cooperating with authorities, and had not attempted to contact witnesses involved in the case.

Barrister Slade Howell argued for bail because the case would likely take years due to the complexity of the case and that Roberts-Smith would not be able to prepare his defence if he was in custody.

Prosecutor Simon Buchen argued against bail because of the serious gravity and scope of the charges. He also charged Roberts-Smith was a flight risk, alleging the accused had planned to move overseas and he had withheld this information from authorities.

Buchen presented the most significant risk as the potential for interference with witnesses or evidence and subversion of the court process.

Buchen acknowledged strict bail conditions could mitigate the flight risk but not the risk of interference in the course of justice.

Judge Greg Grogin found the risks presented by the prosecution would be mitigated by bail conditions, with those being:

  • report to a police station three times a week
  • only use a single phone and computer, which must be made available to police if requested
  • a $250,000 bail surety
  • permission to travel to Sydney and Perth for legal or medical reasons
  • prohibited from interfering with witnesses or evidence
  • surrender of passport

The decision diverges from typical bail trends in Australia which emphasise the seriousness of the crime, flight risk and the risk of interference with justice.

Schulz will face trial in February 2027. Roberts-Smith’s trial date remains to be set – we will know more at a status hearing set for June 4, 2026.

ref. ‘Exceptional circumstances’: why was Ben Roberts-Smith granted bail? – https://theconversation.com/exceptional-circumstances-why-was-ben-roberts-smith-granted-bail-280453

Evening Report: https://eveningreport.nz/2026/04/17/exceptional-circumstances-why-was-ben-roberts-smith-granted-bail-280453/

DemosAU gives Labor one of its worst poll results this term

Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Adrian Beaumont, Election Analyst (Psephologist) at The Conversation; and Honorary Associate, School of Mathematics and Statistics, The University of Melbourne

A DemosAU poll has Labor down three points on primary votes since February to just 26%, with Labor and One Nation now tied. The total vote for the Coalition and One Nation was steady at 49% while the total for Labor and the Greens was down two points to 39%.

Other recent federal polls have been much better for Labor than this DemosAU poll, and a Morgan poll that was taken last week gave Labor a big lead.

DemosAU could be an anti-Labor outlier, or it may be picking up a shift against Labor in the last week. We will need to wait for more polls to know what is happening.

This article also includes age and gender breakdowns from a large-sample Redbridge poll, coverage of international electoral events and further analysis of the March 21 South Australian election.

The Poll Bludger reported a national DemosAU poll for Capital Brief that was conducted April 8–14 from a sample of 1,439. Primary votes were 26% Labor (down three since the February DemosAU poll), 26% One Nation (down two), 23% Coalition (up two), 13% Greens (up one) and 12% for all Others (up two).

No two-party estimate was given, but The Poll Bludger said “a seat projection suggests Labor would likely be left scrambling for a minority government with the support of Greens and independents”. Applying 2025 election preference flows would give Labor below a 51–49 lead over the Coalition, their worst result from any poll this term.

Anthony Albanese’s net approval slumped six points to -20, with 46% giving him a negative rating and 26% a positive rating. Angus Taylor’s initial net approval was -3 (28% negative, 25% positive). Pauline Hanson’s net approval was steady at -5 (39% negative, 34% positive).

By 47–28, respondents did not think the United States was a reliable military ally for Australia. By 59–22, they thought the government should distance itself from President Trump rather than closely support him (45–36 in January 2025 at the beginning of Trump’s term).

Morgan poll

A national Morgan poll, conducted April 6–12 from a sample of 1,512, gave Labor 30% of the primary vote (down 0.5 since the early April Morgan poll), One Nation 24.5% (up three), the Coalition 22.5% (down 1.5), the Greens 12.5% (up 0.5) and all Others 10.5% (down 1.5).

No Labor vs One Nation two-party estimate was provided. Labor led the Coalition by an unchanged 56–44 using respondent preferences. They led by 54–46 on 2025 election preference flows, a 0.5-point gain for Labor.

Large-sample Redbridge poll

The Poll Bludger reported on a Redbridge and Accent Research poll for The Financial Review. This poll was conducted March 6–19 from a large sample of 5,563. It did not give a national headline figure, instead focusing on demographic breakdowns.

With young men (Gen Z), Labor had 39% of the primary vote, the Greens 24%, One Nation 19% and the Coalition 12%.

Among young women, the Greens had 38%, Labor 26%, the Coalition 14% and One Nation 11%.

With Millennial men, Labor had 36%, One Nation 26%, the Coalition 16% and the Greens 13%. With Millennial women, Labor had 28%, One Nation 27%, the Coalition 19% and the Greens 15%.

For Gen X men, One Nation had 35%, Labor 32%, the Coalition 18% and the Greens 6%. For Gen X women, One Nation 31%, Labor 29%, the Coalition 21% and the Greens 9%.

For Baby Boomer men, One Nation had 31%, the Coalition 30%, Labor 27% and the Greens 4%. For Baby Boomer women, Labor 33%, One Nation 32%, the Coalition 24% and the Greens 3%.

Combining the Labor and Greens votes against the One Nation and Coalition votes gives the left a 63–31 lead among Gen Z men and a 64–25 lead among Gen Z women. Millenial men gave the left a 49–42 lead, but Millenial women gave the right a 46–43 lead.

Gen X men gave the right a 53–38 lead and Gen X women gave the right a 52–38 lead. Baby Boomer men gave the right a 61–31 lead and Baby Boomer women gave the right a 56–36 lead.

Farrer byelection has 12 candidates

The Farrer federal byelection to replace Liberal sussan Ley will be held on May 9. There are 12 candidates for this byelection, with One Nation, independent Michelle Milthorpe and the Liberals the main prospects. Labor is not contesting.

Coverage of US, Canadian and Hungarian electoral events

On Friday AEST, US Democrats retained a federal seat in New Jersey, but the 11-point swing in margin from the 2024 presidential election results in that seat was much less than the 25-point swing in Georgia in the April 7 special election. I covered this for The Poll Bludger.

Since the 2025 Canadian federal election, the centre-left Liberals have gained five MPs in the House of Commons by defections. On Monday, they won three byelections in seats they already held, and now have 174 MPs, two above the 172 needed for a majority. In swing terms from the 2025 election, the Conservatives performed dismally in all three byelections.

At the Hungarian April 12 election, Viktor Orbán’s far-right Fidesz that has governed for the last 16 years was thumped by a conservative and pro-European party. I covered these events for The Poll Bludger.

More on the SA election

ABC election analyst Antony Green has posted about the final lower house results of the March 21 South Australian state election. I previously covered these results. Only 13 of the 47 seats were “classic” Labor vs Liberal contests, while 25 were Labor vs One Nation.

Labor had big swings in its favour in Liberal and Labor-held seats on narrow margins, but One Nation had big swings against the old Labor vs Liberal margin in safe Labor seats. Labor won Light against One Nation by just 51.6–48.4, down from a 70.1–29.9 margin against the Liberals in 2022.

Preference flows suggest 80–85% of Greens preferenced Labor above either the Liberals or One Nation. Of One Nation’s preferences, 65–70% favoured the Liberals above Labor, while 55–65% of Liberal preferences went to One Nation ahead of Labor.

The primary vote leader won 45 of the 47 seats, with independents winning Finniss (from fourth on primary votes) and Kavel (from second).

We won’t get an official statewide two-party preferred result, but analyst Kevin Bonham estimates Labor won by 57.9–42.1 against the Liberals and by 58.2–41.8 against One Nation. This would be a 3.3% swing to Labor against the Liberals since the 2022 SA election.

In an embarrassment for the electoral commission, 81 additional votes for Narungga were discovered on Thursday in a neighbouring electorate. Narungga was the closest seat at the election, with One Nation defeating the Liberals by just 58 votes.

The extra votes increased One Nation’s lead to 74 votes.

ref. DemosAU gives Labor one of its worst poll results this term – https://theconversation.com/demosau-gives-labor-one-of-its-worst-poll-results-this-term-280270

Evening Report: https://eveningreport.nz/2026/04/17/demosau-gives-labor-one-of-its-worst-poll-results-this-term-280270/

Musk’s SpaceX is shaping up as the biggest IPO on record. It’s also bending the rules to do so

Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Marta Khomyn, Senior Lecturer, Finance and Data Analytics, Adelaide University

Elon Musk’s space exploration company SpaceX has filed confidential papers ahead of a planned public company listing on the US NASDAQ stock exchange.

The initial public offering (IPO) for the company controlled by the world’s richest man is targeting a total valuation of US$2 trillion. Musk plans to list only a small fraction of the company to raise US$75 billion from public investors, which would still make it the largest IPO in history.

So, why is SpaceX planning to go public? And what does the IPO mean for investors who might want a tiny slice of the action?

The backstory

SpaceX says it aims to “make humanity multiplanetary”. You would expect no less from Musk, who founded SpaceX in 2002.

His company’s breakthrough was to re-use as much of the rocket and launcher vehicle as possible. This slashed launch costs to as little as 5% of the costs in the early 2000s, and turned commercial space flight from science fiction into reality. The company says it has now completed about 600 successful rocket landings.

Yet, for all its space ambitions, SpaceX still derives 50–80% of its revenue from Starlink, a communications business, which provides satellite internet to over 10 million users around the world.

In February 2026, SpaceX merged with xAI, the loss-making AI company behind the Grok chatbot, in what was the largest private merger transaction on record. The deal valued xAI at US$250 billion and SpaceX at US$1 trillion, creating a combined entity worth US$1.25 trillion.

The merger has helped to set the stage for the SpaceX IPO.

Musk suggested the IPO proceeds will be used for launching up to one million data centre satellites into space. The idea is that space-based data centres would be powered by abundant solar energy, and therefore bypass the constraints of electricity and water usage on Earth.

SpaceX’s rocket Starship making a test flight in October 2025. Eric Gay/AP

Bending the rules for the IPO

SpaceX may be the first of three mega-IPOs this year, ahead of potential listings of AI companies Anthropic and OpenAI.

If it goes ahead with plans to raise US$75 billion, that would represent just 3.75% of the company’s total value. It means the vast majority of SpaceX would remain in private hands, owned by Musk himself and a handful of early private investors. In stock market terms, this is called a low “free float”.

Normally, companies that only list such a small percentage of their total value would not qualify for inclusion in major stock market indices like the S&P 500 or the NASDAQ 100.

The NASDAQ normally requires at least a 10% free float of shares in a given company. But to allow a potential listing of SpaceX to be included in the index, the exchange has introduced a special adjustment to the weighting of shares and removed the 10% minimum.

NASDAQ also reduced the normal “seasoning period” before a newly listed company can join the index from three months to just 15 trading days. Again, this is to accommodate the SpaceX listing.

For investors in passive funds, including exchange-trade funds (ETFs), this matters a lot. Currently, more than US$600 billion of investors’ money is with passive funds that track the NASDAQ 100 index. As soon as SpaceX joins the index, these investors will automatically be buying in. The concern is that allowing giant companies such as SpaceX to enter the index too quickly could lead to big price swings, which would expose millions of investors to high volatility.

SpaceX wants investors to value it at US$2 trillion, but it only earned US$15 billion in revenue last year. At that rate, it would take 133 years of revenue just to match its current asking price.

Tesla, one of the most expensive stocks in the world, would take just 13 years — making SpaceX’s price tag ten times higher.

Other leading market indices, such as S&P 500 and FTSE Russell, are also bending their rules to fast-track the inclusion of very large, newly listed companies.

Many more investors have their money in funds that track S&P indices compared to Nasdaq 100 – more than US$16 trillion in passive funds track the S&P. If the S&P 500 follows NASDAQ’s lead and changes its own rules to accommodate SpaceX, the wave of automatic buying would be even larger.

What does this mean for investors?

Musk’s companies have long been the darlings of non-professional, retail investors, and SpaceX would be no exception. In fact, the company said it aims to sell up to 30% of its shares to non-institutional, individual investors.

With SpaceX’s sky-high valuation, investors need to stop and think before buying in. But when powerful companies can rewrite the rules in their own favour, thinking carefully becomes a luxury. Markets only work when everyone plays by the same rules, and right now, not everyone is.

ref. Musk’s SpaceX is shaping up as the biggest IPO on record. It’s also bending the rules to do so – https://theconversation.com/musks-spacex-is-shaping-up-as-the-biggest-ipo-on-record-its-also-bending-the-rules-to-do-so-280271

Evening Report: https://eveningreport.nz/2026/04/17/musks-spacex-is-shaping-up-as-the-biggest-ipo-on-record-its-also-bending-the-rules-to-do-so-280271/

Israel and Lebanon have signed a ceasefire. But this isn’t a tidy end to a war and attention moves on quickly

Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Marika Sosnowski, Senior research fellow, The University of Melbourne

After weeks of bombardments in southern Lebanon that have killed more than 2,000 people and displaced more than one million residents, Israel has announced a ten-day ceasefire with Lebanon.

Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, however, vowed to keep Israeli troops in southern Lebanon to create a ten-kilometre “security zone”, raising immediate questions about whether the ceasefire would actually stop Israeli attacks against Hezbollah.

After a previous ceasefire in late 2024 ended 13 months of fighting between Israel and Hezbollah, Israeli troops continued to launch airstrikes and carry out targeted killings of Hezbollah fighters.

People like to bound events such as wars with tidy dates and years. It makes them easier to understand and entertains the fantasy that historic events are neat, with understandable beginnings, middles and eventual ends.

But in reality, the messiness and complexities of war rarely hold to these manmade boundaries.

Instead, even after a ceasefire or a peace agreement is in place, many dynamics of war continue. This is the paradox of such agreements: they might end one phase of a conflict, but they inevitably usher in another.

Internally displaced residents sit outside their tents at a makeshift camp in the waterfront area of Beirut, Lebanon. Wael Hamzeh/EPA

The good and bad of ceasefires

Take Israel’s war in Gaza as an example.

The war came to an end after Israel and Hamas signed the Gaza Peace Plan, a 20-point deal brokered by the Trump administration, in October 2025.

The terms are relatively broad, vague and aspirational. But the deal has had many benefits. The ceasefire decreased Israel’s bombardments of Gaza. The remaining Israeli hostages captured on October 7 2023 were swapped with Palestinian prisoners held in Israeli jails. Somewhat more aid now enters the strip than during the war.

However, the agreement also created other negative dynamics and enabled many problems caused by the war to continue.

For example, after the deal was signed, the public and media attention shifted away from the violence continuing to be committed by Israel to other events. This has meant that in the wake of the peace deal, near-daily Israeli attacks have continued, but with much less scrutiny. Israeli-supported violence against Palestinians in the West Bank has also escalated.

Palestinians pray over the bodies of victims reportedly killed in an Israeli airstrike in the central Gaza Strip in early April. Haitham Imad/EPA

Humanitarian aid entry into the Gaza Strip also remains vastly below the levels delineated by the peace agreement. And serious discussions about the future governance or development of Gaza – mandated under the peace plan in multiple points – remain uncertain amid the noise of other wars and global events.

We can see similar dynamics in Iran, barely a week after another vaguely worded ceasefire agreement was signed between the US and the Iranian regime.

It appears the regime has taken the opportunity provided by a two-week “peace” to crack down on internal dissent. And in what appears to be an attempt to enhance its negotiating position for future peace talks, the Trump administration has launched a naval blockade of Iranian ports.

The short-term truce between Lebanon and Israel might offer Lebanese civilians some level of reprieve. However, it may also provide Israel with a quiet week away from the media spotlight to reinforce its military occupation of southern Lebanon.

To create Israel’s security zone, Defence Minister Israel Katz said the military would demolish buildings in Lebanese towns near the border and prevent displaced Lebanese from returning to their homes. Netanyahu made clear Israeli troops would remain.

This can all be more easily accomplished with a ceasefire deal in place.

Short attention spans

Globally, dozens of countries are currently experiencing armed conflict. Many people scan the news regularly as a way of keeping informed and bearing witness to the dynamics of these wars, casualty figures and how they might potentially end.

This glorified horror plays into our current “headline culture”, which tends to encourage clickbait, sensationalised content and virality. It also means public attention on a particular conflict is not necessarily driven by the scale of suffering, but by media coverage. Because of digital media, we have now a proximate and persistent view of human suffering and death that does not always translate into ongoing attention and action.

Whether parties to a conflict will reach a ceasefire or peace agreement is certainly worthwhile and important news. However, once a deal is signed, media and public attention often shifts to other more “active” (and also worthy) conflicts. There is currently no shortage of wars to choose from.

Because we believe a conflict has “ended” with a deal, what comes after the ceasefire or peace agreement tends to remain obfuscated or under-reported.

A child searches for reusable items at a landfill beside a tent camp housing displaced Palestinians in Deir al-Balah, central Gaza Strip, on April 16 2026. Abdel Kareem Hana/AP

The peace agreement paradox

Ceasefires and peace agreements are certainly not always a harbinger of peace or a neat full-stop to a war story.

Arguably, the parties to these deals are increasingly aware of the “peace” agreement paradox and are making their political and military calculations accordingly.

If we truly want to grapple with what war and peace directly entails for millions of people in an increasingly complex and volatile world, we need to broaden our understanding about what we mean by ceasefires and peace agreements – and keep up a level of scrutiny long after the deals are signed.

ref. Israel and Lebanon have signed a ceasefire. But this isn’t a tidy end to a war and attention moves on quickly – https://theconversation.com/israel-and-lebanon-have-signed-a-ceasefire-but-this-isnt-a-tidy-end-to-a-war-and-attention-moves-on-quickly-280816

Evening Report: https://eveningreport.nz/2026/04/17/israel-and-lebanon-have-signed-a-ceasefire-but-this-isnt-a-tidy-end-to-a-war-and-attention-moves-on-quickly-280816/

More than 60% of home battery installations inspected in Australia are ‘substandard’

Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Rusty Langdon, Senior Research Consultant, Institute for Sustainable Futures, University of Technology Sydney

More than 60% of battery system installation work inspected under a federal government green energy program is substandard and 1.2% unsafe, according to a recent report by the Clean Energy Regulator.

The Cheaper Home Batteries Program has proved hugely popular. More than a quarter of a million small-scale battery systems have now been installed under it. This equates to 7.7 gigawatt hours of installed storage capacity.

Minister for Climate Change and Energy, Chris Bowen, says this “means less pressure at peak times, more reliability, and a cleaner, more affordable energy system”.

But the installation compliance and safety problems highlighted by the regulator’s report risk not only battery storage growth and the credibility of the scheme, but also public safety.

Substandard and unsafe installations

The Cheaper Home Batteries Program provides a discount of about 30% of the cost of an installed battery. The program is designed to accelerate the move away from fossil fuels, with energy storage critical for reducing reliance on fossil fuel generation during evening peaks.

Recent amendments to the scheme design will address issues that have blown out the cost from original estimates of A$2.3 billion to A$7.2 billion.

Between July 2025 and April 2026, the Clean Energy Regulator carried out 1,278 compliance inspections on battery systems installed under the program.

Some 60.8% of inspected system installations were found to be “substandard” and 1.2% of installs were found to be “unsafe”. The problems weren’t about the batteries themselves, but the way they had been installed.

The sample size in the regulator’s report is small – 0.5% of the total number of systems installed.

With such a small sample size, it is hard to extrapolate the level of installation non-compliance across all systems in Australia. But if similar trends continue in inspections over a larger sample size, there could be approximately 3,000 battery installs that are unsafe and a further 152,000 that are non-compliant.

From incorrect labelling to exposed wiring

Most non-compliance issues related to incorrect labelling.

Issues include missing or incorrect warning labels, unlabelled backup circuits, and missing or incorrectly positioned energy storage (ES) labels. These issues are comparatively low risk relative to issues such as loose wiring, exposed wiring, and substandard electrical work that could lead to overloading, poor battery performance or fires.

Wiring requirements for batteries are not all equal. Some battery systems come pre-assembled with all wiring and electronic equipment integrated into the battery enclosure. This reduces the electrical work required to install.

Other systems are not as integrated. They require additional wiring by the electrician to connect, and can be more challenging to install without experience. These were the systems where installations were deemed unsafe by the regulator, with reported issues such as loose connections and substandard wiring practices that pose an imminent risk.

Exposed wiring is also a common issue that needs to be addressed as a priority. If wiring is not enclosed, it can be damaged and increase the risk of a severe electric shock if touched. The independent solar energy website, SolarQuotes, highlights the exposed wiring issue well, showcasing several installations with non-compliant wiring.

For batteries, no amount of exposed cable is compliant. Cables need to be protected from mechanical damage for the full cable run, using electrical conduit or metal ducting.

Alarmingly, reports from experts in the field indicate that only 10% of installers are following these wiring practices correctly.

A quick scroll of social media groups that rate battery installation jobs visually confirms the issues. Posts of substandard installations show exposed cables, batteries placed in full sun, delicately anchored to a wall with standard masonry wall plugs or supported with loose bits of timber and pavers.

In February the Clean Energy Regulator said it was ramping up inspections of solar battery installations as part of the Cheaper Home Batteries Program.

“I’m putting installers on notice that unsafe and non-compliant work will be identified, and we won’t hesitate to use our compliance powers,” CER Executive General Manager, Carl Binning, said.

Battery installations are complex

Well-intentioned schemes have previously been compromised by bad actors – referred to as “rebate chasers”.

The regulator sets rules limiting the number of battery installations that can be completed in one day. This is aimed at reducing the likelihood of this type of accreditation misuse.

Battery installations are complex, so there are likely to be a range of reasons why non-compliance is emerging.

Conversations colleagues and I have had with electricians operating in the industry highlight just how stretched they are trying to keep up with demand. The shortage of electricians nationally is a well-known issue exacerbating the pressure placed on current trades trying to deal with the volume of work available.

The sheer scale of demand pushes skilled trades to work to their limits. This is bound to result in things falling through the cracks in some cases.

In instances of fraud, negligence or repeat non-compliance, the Clean Energy Regulator has indicated the use of strong enforcement action. This includes stripping accreditation where necessary.

In the case where repeat non-compliance highlights gaps in knowledge across the industry, the regulator has signalled an intention to fill knowledge gaps with mandatory training.

Finding accredited installers

There is a well-defined accreditation pathway for battery installers that should be reviewed by accrediting body Solar Accreditation Australia, considering the issues identified.

In the meantime, consumers can arm themselves with the knowledge to avoid being caught out. They can reduce the risk of a non-compliant or unsafe install by engaging an accredited installer that has been pre-vetted.

Ask quoting installers for images of previous installations. A neat and tidy installation, without exposed cabling, can be a good marker for compliant installation practices.

And if you have the time and technical aptitude, familiarise yourself with the Clean Energy Regulator’s Solar Battery Inspections Checklist.

ref. More than 60% of home battery installations inspected in Australia are ‘substandard’ – https://theconversation.com/more-than-60-of-home-battery-installations-inspected-in-australia-are-substandard-280449

Evening Report: https://eveningreport.nz/2026/04/17/more-than-60-of-home-battery-installations-inspected-in-australia-are-substandard-280449/

ER Report: A Roundup of Significant Articles on EveningReport.nz for April 17, 2026

ER Report: Here is a summary of significant articles published on EveningReport.nz on April 17, 2026.

‘Unconstitutional’ – NSW court strikes down Minns’ draconian anti-protest laws
By Stephanie Tran of Michael West Media The Supreme Court of New South Wales has struck down the state’s draconian anti-protest laws, ruling they impose an “impermissible burden” on political communication and are invalid. In a landmark decision yesterday, the court declared key provisions of the anti-protest laws introduced after the Bondi terrorist attack unconstitutional,

Marshall Islands government shuts down at 3pm daily amid fuel crisis
By Giff Johnson, editor, Marshall Islands Journal/RNZ Pacific correspondent Most government offices in the Marshall Islands began enforcing a new policy this week of closing by 3pm daily as a way to conserve fuel given uncertainties of fuel supply globally. The move is to save energy and reduce the strain on the Marshalls Energy Company’s

Will retatrutide help me lose weight or look ‘shredded’?
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Lauren Ball, Professor of Community Health and Wellbeing, The University of Queensland Injectable peptides are generating a lot of buzz online. One of these is retatrutide, a drug that’s being described as the next big thing in weight loss. Some say it may be even more powerful

The Myanmar civil war is at stalemate – but anti-junta forces may be gaining the upper hand
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Damien Kingsbury, Emeritus Professor, School of Humanities and Social Sciences, Deakin University Among the cruel ironies of the Myanmar civil war, now in its sixth year, is that for an army that is struggling to conscript soldiers, the Myanmar junta has repeatedly bombed its own troops held

Nurses with higher cultural competence don’t always perform better – new study
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Emmy van Esch, Lecturer (Assistant Professor) in Management and International Business, University of Auckland, Waipapa Taumata Rau The ability to function effectively in intercultural settings has been termed “cultural intelligence” – and it is often celebrated as a kind of modern superpower. But our latest research reveals

Trump’s clash with the pope reenacts a 1,000-year-old question: What happens when sacred and secular power collide?
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Joëlle Rollo-Koster, Professor of Medieval History, University of Rhode Island Alarm over the war of words between President Donald Trump and Pope Leo XIV has escalated with remarkable speed, from The New York Times to the Daily Beast and local television. The pope has repeatedly called for

Can I get a free flu shot? And will it cover ‘super K’? Your influenza vaccine questions answered
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Allen Cheng, Professor of Infectious Diseases, Monash University For many of us, flu can mean a nasty few weeks of illness. But for the very young and old, and those with health complications, it can be extremely serious, leading to around 3,500 deaths in Australia each year.

Out of sight, but not out of trouble: groundwater contamination in NZ reveals a legacy of human pressure
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Helen Rutter, Senior Adjunct Lecturer, Waterways Centre, University of Canterbury The latest official stocktake of the state of New Zealand’s freshwater carries many of the headline messages we have come to expect. Pressures such as intensive land use and climate change are continuing to degrade our lakes,

Inside One Nation’s strategy of scandal, chaos and controversy
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Ashlynne McGhee, Head of Editorial Innovation, The Conversation We’d all like deeply considered policy and informed debate to be at the heart of politics, but unfortunately controversies and scandals tend to steal the show. For most parties, scandals are disastrous: they lose seats, ministers and elections —

No‑one has been prosecuted for wage theft since it became a crime. 2 inquiries want answers
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Irene Nikoloudakis, PhD Candidate in Law, Adelaide University Another day, another Senate inquiry – this time into Australia’s federal laws dealing with “wage theft”. Wage theft became a federal crime on January 1 2025. Employers who deliberately “steal” from their workers’ pay can now be prosecuted and

Iran hasn’t survived decades of hostile sanctions, assassinations and sabotage by accident – it’s by strategy
COMMENTARY: By Prince Taofeek Ajibade US President Donald Trump probably thinks he can starve a country that feeds itself. Washington is selling the naval blockade of the Strait of Hormuz as a chokehold. However, it is worth asking whether the hand actually reaches the throat. Iran shares land borders with seven countries — Türkiye, Iraq,

Albanese and Indonesian governments land fertiliser supply deal for farmers
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Michelle Grattan, Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra The federal government has secured access to 250,000 tonnes of extra urea from Indonesia for Australian farmers. The deal between Incitec Pivot Fertilisers and PT Pupuk Indonesia was facilitated by the governments of the two countries. It will provide about

Black hole jets ‘dance’ in the wind from a massive companion star
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Steve Prabu, Adjunct Lecturer, School of Electrical Engineering, Computing and Mathematical Sciences, Curtin University; University of Oxford Black holes are among the most extreme objects in the universe. They can fling material outwards at speeds close to that of light, in powerful beams of plasma known as

Politics with Michelle Grattan: Economist Chris Richardson on next steps in fuel crisis
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Michelle Grattan, Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra The war in Iran has become the third major economic crisis in the last 20 years, with fuel prices jumping and inflation once again starting to pick up. Australians are feeling worsening economic pain. While the government has offered some

Grattan on Friday: Migration debate deserves better policy approach and less politicking from Liberals
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Michelle Grattan, Professorial Fellow, University of Canberra An effective opposition is good at policy. Last term and so far this term, the Coalition has been very poor at policy formulation. Remember Peter Dutton’s defence policy? If you don’t, it’s probably because it was just a commitment to

Caitlin Johnstone: I hope the US loses and the empire collapses
COMMENTARY: By Caitlin Johnstone I don’t mind admitting that I hope the US and Israel suffer a crushing, devastating defeat in Iran. I hope this war collapses the entire US empire. My only loyalty is to humanity, and being on Team Human in today’s world means being against the US empire and against Israel. I

The new National Defence Strategy feels written for a bygone era – and ignores the elephant in the room
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Peter Layton, Visiting Fellow, Strategic Studies, Griffith University Sometimes new government strategies really aren’t newsworthy. The 2026 National Defence Strategy (NDS) is like that. The biggest headline from the document is the additional defence spending of $53 billion over the next decade, which the government claims (with

A new minister in Victoria will tackle the manosphere. Here’s what they should do
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Stephanie Wescott, Lecturer in Humanities and Social Sciences, Monash University Victoria has its first minister for men and boys. Part of a cabinet reshuffle, the role was given to Frankston MP Paul Edbrooke. It comes with an explicit dual focus: on one hand, boys’ and men’s own

What does the Geelong refinery fire reveal about Australia’s fuel supplies?
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Tony Wood, Senior Fellow in Energy and Climate Change, Grattan Institute Late on Wednesday, Victorian firefighters were called to a large fire at Viva Energy Group’s oil refinery in Corio, a suburb of Geelong. The blaze is believed to have been an equipment failure. Thankfully, no-one was

When oil refineries burn, here’s what happens to your lungs and heart
Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Brian Oliver, Professor, School of Life Sciences, University of Technology Sydney The fire at a major oil refinery in the Victorian city of Geelong has now reportedly been extinguished. But with thick smoke from the blaze lingering in the air on Thursday, many residents in Geelong and

Evening Report: https://eveningreport.nz/2026/04/17/er-report-a-roundup-of-significant-articles-on-eveningreport-nz-for-april-17-2026/

‘Unconstitutional’ – NSW court strikes down Minns’ draconian anti-protest laws

By Stephanie Tran of Michael West Media

The Supreme Court of New South Wales has struck down the state’s draconian anti-protest laws, ruling they impose an “impermissible burden” on political communication and are invalid.

In a landmark decision yesterday, the court declared key provisions of the anti-protest laws introduced after the Bondi terrorist attack unconstitutional, finding they gave police sweeping powers to shut down protests across large parts of Sydney without sufficient justification.

“The impugned provisions infringe the implied freedom of political communication,” the court found.

The court held that the laws were “not compatible with the maintenance of the constitutionally prescribed system of representative and responsible government.”

Not constitutionally legitimate
“It is not a constitutionally legitimate purpose to seek to discourage all forms of public assembly across a nominated geographical area to preserve social cohesion, on the grounds that the very act of holding public assemblies is apt to cause tension and division in the community,” the court found.

The challenge centred on a suite of laws rushed through on Christmas Eve under the Terrorism and Other Legislation Amendment Act 2025 (NSW), in the aftermath of the Bondi attack that killed 15 people.

The laws allowed the NSW police commissioner to issue sweeping “public assembly restriction” declarations across broad areas.

Once in force, those declarations effectively shut down protests by preventing them from being authorised under the Summary Offences Act 1988 (NSW), cancelling existing approvals and enabling police to disperse gatherings using expanded powers under the Law Enforcement (Powers and Responsibilities) Act 2002 (NSW).

In its reasoning, the court stated:

“peaceful protest is indispensable to the exercise of political sovereignty by the people of the Commonwealth”

and the laws imposed “substantial burden” to this right.

It rejected the government’s argument that the measures were necessary to preserve “social cohesion”, finding the scheme was disproportionate.

The system of government “does not permit the state … to impose such a sweeping and indiscriminate restriction on all public assemblies,” the court said.

The constitutional challenge was brought on behalf of Blak Caucus, Palestine Action Group and Jews Against the Occupation ’48.

‘A big win for everyone’
Josh Lees, a spokesperson for Palestine Action Group Sydney, said the ruling was “a big win for everyone who cares about the right to protest”.

“These laws were terrible. They were so wide-ranging, and that is what the court has found today, that they unfairly and disproportionately burdened our rights to political communication,” he said.

Lees said the laws had been used by NSW Premier Chris Minns to violently suppress protests against Israel’s genocide in Gaza and called for Minns to “take accountability” and resign.

The challenge came against the backdrop of heavily policed protests in early 2026, including the violent crackdown on the Sydney Town Hall protest against the visit of Israeli President Isaac Herzog.

Enabled police violence
Nick Hanna, solicitor for the plaintiffs, said the laws had enabled “the most violent crackdown … against protesters in decades”.

“Today’s decision makes clear that, in my view, it is inevitable that prosecutions of every single person who attended that protest will be unsuccessful, and they will be found not guilty if they proceed to hearing,” he said.

“The maintenance of these prosecutions is untenable, and it’s time for police to do the right thing and discontinue them.”

Hanna is currently representing a number of protesters who were arrested during the Herzog protest.

Chris Minns responsible
NSW Greens MP Sue Higginson said the ruling raised serious questions about police conduct during those protests.

“What we saw … was police brutality on a scale we have not seen for decades in this state,” she said.

“I hold Chris Minns responsible for that violence because it was his unconstitutional laws upon which the police acted.”

Higginson said the state could now face “tens of millions of dollars in civil liability claims” arising from the policing of protests under the invalid laws.

Stephanie Tran is a journalist with a background in both law and journalism. She has worked at The Guardian and as a paralegal, where she assisted Crikey’s defence team in the high-profile defamation case brought by Lachlan Murdoch. Her reporting has been recognised nationally, earning her the 2021 Democracy’s Watchdogs Award for Student Investigative Reporting and a nomination for the 2021 Walkley Student Journalist of the Year Award. This article is republished from Michael West Media with permission.

Article by AsiaPacificReport.nz

Evening Report: https://eveningreport.nz/2026/04/17/unconstitutional-nsw-court-strikes-down-minns-draconian-anti-protest-laws/

Marshall Islands government shuts down at 3pm daily amid fuel crisis

By Giff Johnson, editor, Marshall Islands Journal/RNZ Pacific correspondent

Most government offices in the Marshall Islands began enforcing a new policy this week of closing by 3pm daily as a way to conserve fuel given uncertainties of fuel supply globally.

The move is to save energy and reduce the strain on the Marshalls Energy Company’s diesel fuel resources with both fuel shortages and skyrocketing prices seen on world markets due to the US and Israel’s attacks on Iran and its retaliation by closing the Strait of Hormuz to global shipping.

The 3pm daily closure directive for all non-essential government services was issued by the government’s cabinet on April 10 as an Emergency Electricity Savings Policy.

Aside from the government office closure to reduce energy use, the emergency directive is expected to help the private sector through the mandate of government contracts for air conditioning maintenance and repair.

Government offices are expected to remain open during the lunch hour, allowing workers to operate seven hours daily instead of the usual eight.

A key provision about the shutdown of government offices by 3pm daily is that they are required to shut off air conditioners, lights and any other equipment drawing power. The aim is to reduce energy use by 30 percent over the 90 days of the emergency decree.

The 90-day emergency order mandates the Marshalls Energy Company, the government’s power utility company, to provide detailed monthly electricity bills to every government ministry, state-owned enterprise, and subsidised agency that detail each government offices power consumption compared to the 30-day period immediately prior to the emergency declaration.

Compliance ‘mandatory’
“Compliance with the 90-Day Emergency Electricity Savings Policy is mandatory,” the declaration said.

“The National Energy Authority will monitor the monthly MEC baseline reports to verify progress toward the 30 percent reduction goal.”

Various exemptions are made to the requirement of shutting down by 3pm daily. All essential services are exempted from the closure order, including public schools, the College of the Marshall Islands and Majuro and Ebeye hospitals.

As an essential service, Majuro Hospital is exempt from a mandatory 3pm government shutdown for the next 90-days. Image: RNZ Pacific/Giff Johnson

Secretary of Health Francyne Wase-Jacklick said the ministry was specifically exempted so there would not be disruptions.

“So essential services remain ongoing,” she said. “Outpatient, maternal child health, immunization, public health programs, and rehab services will continue as usual, with only internal adjustments to reduce energy use where possible.”

As a consequence of the 3pm daily closure of all non-essential government/agency/state owned enterprise offices, government workers will be working only 30 hours each week. They will, however, continue to be paid for a full week of work.

The 90-day Emergency Electricity Savings Policy would accomplish two things, Finance Minister David Paul said this week

‘Skyrocketing’ fuel costs
It was “an opportunity to cut down on energy usage” (while it) ⁠⁠allows people to maintain their purchasing power,” he said.

Paul said the situation with skyrocketing fuel costs had caused “an affordability crisis — so it will be counterproductive if we are trying to address a problem while creating another one.”

This is why workers will still get their full paychecks, he said.

The new 90-day Emergency Electricity Savings Policy is likely to have a positive impact on the private sector.

The new policy directs the Ministry of Public Works, Infrastructure, and Utilities to implement an “immediate transition” to contracting out air conditioning cleaning and repair services to the private sector.

“Air conditioning constitutes the largest draw on the public power grid,” said the new government emergency policy. Performance and quality of air conditioners, therefore, had a big impact on their cost of power to operate.

Public Works “currently lacks the capacity to service all government units”, the policy said.

Transition maintenance
To resolve this, the ministry is directed to coordinate with the Ministry of Finance to immediately transition maintenance responsibilities and facilitate the contracting of air conditioning cleaning and repair services to the private sector.

Further, the policy directs that “every government ministry, state-owned enterprise, and subsidized agency must allocate funds from their current budgets to hire private contractors for air conditioning repairs, maintenance, and cleaning.

While agencies are directed to transition maintenance to the private sector, they are also encouraged to explore all available avenues — including internal staffing or collaborative partnership with other agencies — to ensure units are serviced.”

A part of the emergency order requires that within the 90-day period of the order, “every agency must compile a complete inventory of their air conditioning units”.

They must also secure a maintenance contract and schedule to ensure filters are cleaned every two-to-four weeks. While physical cleaning of all units may extend beyond this 90-day window, the finalised contracts and schedules must be in place.”

This article is republished under a community partnership agreement with RNZ.

Article by AsiaPacificReport.nz

Evening Report: https://eveningreport.nz/2026/04/17/marshall-islands-government-shuts-down-at-3pm-daily-amid-fuel-crisis/

Will retatrutide help me lose weight or look ‘shredded’?

Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Lauren Ball, Professor of Community Health and Wellbeing, The University of Queensland

Injectable peptides are generating a lot of buzz online.

One of these is retatrutide, a drug that’s being described as the next big thing in weight loss. Some say it may be even more powerful than Ozempic or Wegovy, two other popular weight loss drugs. Beyond health care, gym-goers are using it to try to get leaner, faster. This trend is sometimes dubbed “leanmaxxing”.

But there’s a catch. Retatrutide is still experimental. It hasn’t been approved for use anywhere in the world, yet it’s already circulating through illicit online markets.

So is retatrutide a safe way to lose weight? Or does it bring more risks than rewards?

What is retatrutide?

Retatrutide, often shortened to “reta”, is a peptide that researchers are still testing in clinical trials. Peptides are short chains of amino acids that help your body heal wounds and reduce inflammation.

Retatrutide acts on three hormone pathways that affect your appetite, metabolism and blood sugar levels. The first is glucagon-like peptide-1, otherwise known as GLP-1. This hormone reduces appetite and slows down the rate at which food travels through your stomach. The second is GIP or glucose-dependent insulinotropic polypeptide, which helps regulate blood sugar and fat storage. Glucagon, which also helps manage your blood sugar levels, is the third.

By acting on these three hormones, retatrutide is designed to reduce both how much you eat and how much energy your body burns.

The results from early trials are striking. They suggest retatrutide may lead to even greater weight loss than current regulated therapeutic treatments. This includes an increasingly popular type of weight loss drug called semaglutide, widely known under brand names including Ozempic and Wegovy. In one 2023 trial, participants receiving higher doses lost more than 20% of their body weight over 48 weeks. But this trial was conducted in a tightly controlled clinical setting with medical supervision, carefully selected patients and regulated dosing. That’s very different from buying a product online and using it without guidance.


Read more: Injectable peptides are the new anti-ageing trend. But what evidence do we have they’re safe for humans?


Why are gym-goers interested?

For some, having a weekly retatrutide injection that suppresses appetite and increases fat loss is an attractive idea.

Losing a large amount of weight quickly can make people look leaner and, in some cases, more “defined” or “shredded”. This is especially appealing in aesthetics-focused cultures.

However, rapid weight loss doesn’t just mean losing fat. It often also reduces a person’s muscle mass, especially if they don’t eat enough protein or do enough resistance training. But many gym-goers want to build muscle, rather than lose it.

There’s also a psychological side to consider. Appetite suppression can make it easier to eat well, but it may also take away the joy of eating good food, especially in social settings. Recent research suggests retatrutide may affect a person’s mood, motivation and relationships. However, scientists don’t yet understand how or why.


Read more: 3 signs your diet is causing too much muscle loss – and what to do about it


Are there any risks?

Current research suggests retatrutide can cause several side effects. This is supported by anecdotal reports from social media. The most common side effects are gastrointestinal. These may include nausea, vomiting, diarrhoea and constipation.

These symptoms can be mild for some people, but severe for others. There has already been at least one reported case of a person dying, after they used the drug and developed severe diarrhoea. However, this case is still being investigated.

There’s also a lack of regulation controlling where, when and how people can access retatrutide. Enhancement drugs, including peptides such as retatrutide, sold online or through unofficial channels may be contaminated with other harmful materials. They may also have incorrect doses of retatrutide or contain none at all.

Earlier this week, Australia’s Therapeutic Goods Administration specifically warned about the dangers of importing and using unapproved peptide products, both for consumers and suppliers.


Read more: Ozempic isn’t approved for weight loss in Australia. So how are people accessing it?


Could it affect your mood or relationships?

Based on some recent media reports, it seems peptides such as retatrutide may affect more than just appetite.

These medications act on brain pathways involved in reward and motivation. This means they might affect your desire to consume food or alcohol. Other research indicates peptides such as retatrutide may affect a person’s sexual drive. Some people describe feeling “flat” or emotionally detached, while others report negative changes in their relationships.

The bottom line

Current research suggests retatrutide can lead to significant weight loss. However, that’s not the same as becoming “shredded”. That relies on other factors such as prioritising resistance training, eating a protein-rich diet and staying hydrated.

ref. Will retatrutide help me lose weight or look ‘shredded’? – https://theconversation.com/will-retatrutide-help-me-lose-weight-or-look-shredded-280580

Evening Report: https://eveningreport.nz/2026/04/17/will-retatrutide-help-me-lose-weight-or-look-shredded-280580/

The Myanmar civil war is at stalemate – but anti-junta forces may be gaining the upper hand

Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Damien Kingsbury, Emeritus Professor, School of Humanities and Social Sciences, Deakin University

Among the cruel ironies of the Myanmar civil war, now in its sixth year, is that for an army that is struggling to conscript soldiers, the Myanmar junta has repeatedly bombed its own troops held as prisoners of war.

In this garrison state, it appears everything may be sacrificed to keep the military and its civilian front government – recently installed following widely discredited elections – in power.

There has been some impressive progress by the National Unity Government’s People’s Defence Force and allied ethnic armies against the military’s front organisation, the Union Solidarity and Development Party.

But after so many years, the Myanmar civil war is now at stalemate.

How did we get here?

The civil war began in February 2021 when the armed forces staged a coup against the elected civilian government headed by Nobel laureate Aung San Suu Kyi.

The civilian-led government had been elected in 2015, following more than five decades of military rule.

The army claimed (without evidence) there were irregularities in the 2020 elections and staged a coup months later.

For the army, allowing competitive elections in 2020 was intended as window dressing while it pursued business as usual.

It didn’t expect a genuine challenge to its deeply embedded role in the state. It had constitutionally reserved to itself the right to remove the civilian government at any time.

Since the coup, more than 90,000 people have been killed and more than three million displaced.

The army now only controls a little over a fifth of the country, but still holds most of the larger towns.

The civil war is, in many respects, a continuation of civil conflict dating back to the 1950s. Then, the government of the newly independent Burma was beset by an ethnic and communist insurgency. It soon lost control of almost all of its territory, except the Irrawaddy Valley.

In the face of political instability, the civilian government invited the army to rule the country for a year in 1960. Two years later, the army staged a coup. It stayed in power until 2015, before its recent return.

Two key factors hindering anti-junta forces

Over recent years, the successes of the anti-junta forces indicate they are in the ascendancy. Victory over the junta may just be a question of time.

However, two crucial factors may hinder their success.

The first is that when they take a strategic town or city, they’re often forced to relinquish it after being attacked by the junta’s Chinese- and Russian-supplied aircraft and drones.

Both sides use drones. However, the junta’s aircraft, as well as the sophistication of their drones, mean this is an unequal war.

Russia’s close support for the junta, and its military cooperation agreement signed in February, mean the Myanmar civil war also has an element of the Russia-Ukraine war about it.

With Russia openly supporting the junta, a small number of Ukrainian military advisers are now working with anti-junta groups.

The second and perhaps more crucial problem facing the anti-junta forces – some 16 major groups in all – has, until recently, been lack of unity and coordination.

In many cases, the ethnic resistance organisations have not coordinated with the anti-junta National Unity Government or its People’s Defence Forces.

There have also been instances of ethnic resistance organisations attacking each other, in some cases egged on by China.

For instance, the militarily successful Three Brotherhood Alliance was severely damaged when – at China’s request – the ethnic Kokang Myanmar National Democratic Alliance Army attacked and disarmed its erstwhile allies, the ethnic Palaung Ta’ang National Liberation Army in northern Shan state.

However, a recently formed steering committee appears to be bringing together most of the anti-junta forces. A more coordinated push against the junta can be expected within months.

Part of the disunity among ethnic resistance organisations is linked to the fact many have long-established war economies, often based on illegal activities, which they are keen to continue or expand.

And the more territory an ethnic resistance organisation controls, the stronger its claim to representation in any future government.

This not only privileges the ethnic group each resistance organisation represents, but enhances the prospects of future business – and criminal – opportunities. These include drug manufacturing, timber and gem smuggling, and control over people smuggling and scam call centres.

One critical factor driving anti-junta forces is an agreement between the ethnic resistance organisations and the National Unity Government that a future Myanmar will be a highly decentralised federation.

This fundamental reordering of the state has led many anti-junta groups to characterise the civil war as a “revolution”.

Suspicion lingers, however, among some of the ethnic resistance organisations that the ethnic Burmese base may try to reassert centralised control.

The upper hand

Despite serious challenges, the anti-junta forces appear, on balance, to hold the upper hand.

As the junta loses ground, it will increasingly fall back on the central Irrawaddy Valley, between Mandalay and Yangon.

The question is whether the armed forces can rebuild from there.

The alternative is that more coordinated anti-junta forces lead to further battlefield successes, leading China to shift its considerable support from the junta to the National Unity Government and its allies.

In this, China will be pivotal.

ref. The Myanmar civil war is at stalemate – but anti-junta forces may be gaining the upper hand – https://theconversation.com/the-myanmar-civil-war-is-at-stalemate-but-anti-junta-forces-may-be-gaining-the-upper-hand-277733

Evening Report: https://eveningreport.nz/2026/04/17/the-myanmar-civil-war-is-at-stalemate-but-anti-junta-forces-may-be-gaining-the-upper-hand-277733/

Nurses with higher cultural competence don’t always perform better – new study

Source: The Conversation (Au and NZ) – By Emmy van Esch, Lecturer (Assistant Professor) in Management and International Business, University of Auckland, Waipapa Taumata Rau

The ability to function effectively in intercultural settings has been termed “cultural intelligence” – and it is often celebrated as a kind of modern superpower.

But our latest research reveals a more complicated reality.

Previous research has largely highlighted the bright side of cultural intelligence, linking it to positive workplace outcomes such as improved performance.

But we found another side, and evidence of this in one of the most critical settings: healthcare.

We collected data from nurses working in New Zealand, a highly diverse country where nurses have to interact daily with patients, families and colleagues from a wide range of cultural backgrounds.

This diversity has grown even further after the COVID pandemic, with many internationally qualified nurses joining the workforce from around the world.

Cultural intelligence therefore seems essential. We expected it would help them perform better and feel more satisfied at work. But that is not what we found – which may have implications for the way cultural intelligence is taught.

What cultural intelligence means

Cultural intelligence consists of four dimensions.

Meta‑cognitive cultural intelligence refers to the mental processes we use to acquire and understand cultural knowledge. This is about being aware of our own thinking processes related to culture, questioning cultural assumptions and adapting our thinking patterns.

Cognitive cultural intelligence refers to knowledge of the norms, practices and conventions of different cultures. It involves knowing the similarities and differences between cultures.

Motivational cultural intelligence refers to the capability and willingness to learn about and function in culturally diverse situations.

Behavioural cultural intelligence refers to the capability to demonstrate appropriate verbal and non‑verbal actions when interacting with people from different cultural backgrounds.

When cultural knowledge backfires

Previous research has generally focused on cultural intelligence as a single construct and has shown positive associations with performance outcomes.

However, we found results are not consistent across the individual components of cultural intelligence.

Surprisingly, we found nurses with higher levels of cultural knowledge (cognitive cultural intelligence) actually performed worse and reported lower job satisfaction.

In other words, knowing more about cultural differences does not automatically translate to better care and may even get in the way.

We believe this suggests too much knowledge can backfire. Cultural knowledge may create cognitive overload, where nurses are overwhelmed by too much information.

It may also lead to cognitive entrenchment, where deep expertise fosters rigid thinking, making it harder to adapt to the unique needs of each patient.

This matters because healthcare workers often attend cultural knowledge training. In these training sessions, they are taught about cultural norms, values and differences in the belief that more knowledge will lead to better care. Our findings suggest this may not always be the case.

Why thinking about thinking matters

We also found evidence for the bright side of cultural intelligence.

Nurses who are more aware of and adapt their own thinking processes related to culture (meta‑cognitive cultural intelligence) performed better and reported higher job satisfaction.

We believe these nurses are better at understanding and interpreting cultural nuances, leading to fewer misunderstandings as they adjust their assumptions during patient interactions.

This likely contributes to improved job performance, as nurses can navigate cultural differences more effectively and provide culturally sensitive and appropriate care.

We also found motivational and behavioural cultural intelligence did not have a significant effect on job performance or job satisfaction.

This may be due to the specific nature of nursing work. Nurses often operate in environments with clearly defined roles and responsibilities, where core tasks are highly structured. This may reduce the need for high levels of intrinsic motivation or flexible behaviour to perform effectively.

Taken together, our findings challenge the idea that more cultural knowledge is always better. Deeper understanding of cultural norms, values and differences does not always lead to better care.

Instead, in high‑stakes intercultural work environments such as healthcare, cultural competence training needs to move beyond facts about other cultures.

Cultural competence is not merely about acquiring knowledge but about developing the reflective and adaptive capabilities necessary to navigate complex, culturally diverse environments.

In healthcare, that distinction matters more than we think.

ref. Nurses with higher cultural competence don’t always perform better – new study – https://theconversation.com/nurses-with-higher-cultural-competence-dont-always-perform-better-new-study-279846

Evening Report: https://eveningreport.nz/2026/04/17/nurses-with-higher-cultural-competence-dont-always-perform-better-new-study-279846/